Financial literacy · Insurance · Case study
Tom's first car, and the $28 decision
A real pattern, reconstructed with real numbers. Work through what Tom chose, what it cost, and how to run the maths for yourself.
Tom is 18, works part time at a hardware store, and has just bought his first car: a nine year old hatchback for $9,500.00, most of his savings. Registration comes with compulsory third party insurance, so injuries to people are covered by law. Damage to cars, his or anyone else's, is not. That part is his decision.
He gets two quotes, example pricing for a driver his age. Third party property damage: $28.00 a month, covering damage he causes to other people's property but nothing on his own car. Comprehensive: $118.00 a month with an $800.00 excess, covering other people's property and his own car. The gap is $90.00 a month, $1,080.00 a year, and Tom is saving for a trip after year 12. He picks third party property and feels good about the $90.00 a month he is keeping.
Four months later, reversing out of a tight car park, Tom clips a parked BMW. Nobody is hurt. He does the right things at the scene: photographs both cars from every angle, leaves a note with his name and number, and calls his insurer the same afternoon. The assessments come back over the next fortnight. Damage to the BMW: $11,200.00. Damage to his own car, a crumpled rear quarter panel and a broken tail light: $3,400.00.
The claim on the BMW works exactly as the policy promised. Tom pays his excess of $500.00, and his insurer pays the remaining $10,700.00 to repair the BMW. This is the moment the $28.00 a month proves its worth: without it, Tom would owe a stranger $11,200.00, more than his car cost, and more than a year of his wages after tax.
His own car is a different story. Third party property damage covers other people's property only, and the PDS said so plainly. The $3,400.00 repair is entirely his. Tom's savings, after buying the car and four months of trip saving, hold $2,100.00. He can pay for a partial repair, or drive a dented car and keep saving. He gets the tail light fixed for $310.00 so the car is legal, and lives with the dents.
That night Tom runs the honest recalculation. If he had chosen comprehensive, he would have paid $472.00 in premiums by now instead of $112.00, and after the crash he would have paid one $800.00 excess and had both cars fully repaired: $1,272.00 all up. Instead, his path has cost $112.00 in premiums, the $500.00 excess on the BMW claim, and a $3,400.00 repair bill of his own: $4,012.00. On this one event, comprehensive would have left him $2,740.00 better off.
But Tom is careful not to learn the wrong lesson, because hindsight is not how insurance decisions work. The real comparison is forward looking. Comprehensive costs him $1,080.00 a year more, to protect a car worth $9,500.00, and after an $800.00 excess the most it could ever really put back in his pocket is about $8,700.00. Roughly eight years of extra premiums add up to the most the policy could ever pay. His mate Priya faces the same choice with her $2,000.00 bomb, where the comprehensive premium alone would equal more than half the car's value every single year, and third party property is close to an obvious call. Tom's car sits in the middle, where the answer is genuinely arguable, and that is the point. Insurance decisions are not about guessing whether you will crash. They are about whether the loss would be ruinous, what the protection costs against the value protected, and what your savings could absorb.
Lay Tom's accident over the risk grid from the last lesson and it explains itself. The $11,200.00 he could owe a stranger sat squarely in the ruinous corner, unlikely on any given day but far beyond what his savings or his wages could absorb, so transferring it to an insurer for $28.00 a month was the clear move and it worked exactly as promised. The $3,400.00 to his own car was a different quadrant: painful, but survivable on a partial repair and a legal tail light, which is why carrying that risk was a defensible choice rather than a reckless one. What Tom got right was insuring the ruinous corner. What stung was discovering that his own car sat closer to the ruinous end than he had guessed when he first weighed $90.00 a month against a trip fund.
The following year sharpens the decision rather than settling it. Tom now has an at fault claim on his record, so his no claim discount has taken a step back and every quote he collects will run higher than the ones he saw as a fresh driver, which pushes against paying for comprehensive. Pulling the other way, his savings are slowly rebuilding and the memory of finding $3,400.00 he did not have is fresh, which is exactly the feeling that makes people value cover for their own car. The numbers have changed, so the honest thing to do is not to repeat last year's choice out of habit but to run the same forward looking comparison again with this year's premiums, this year's car value and this year's emergency fund.
Your tasks
Work through these in order, on paper or in a doc. They are the point of the story.
- 1List every cost in this story and who paid it: both premiums, the excess, both repair bills and the tail light. Check that the totals in paragraph six are right.
- 2Explain exactly which layer of insurance covered which damage, and why CTP paid nothing at all in this accident.
- 3Tom's claim for the BMW succeeded smoothly. List the things he did at the scene and afterwards that made that possible.
- 4Rerun Tom's recalculation for a full year instead of four months: total extra premium for comprehensive, versus what it would have paid on this crash after the excess. Show your working.
- 5Priya's car is worth $2,000.00 and comprehensive would cost her about $1,150.00 a year with an $800.00 excess, example pricing. Run the same maths for her and explain why her decision is easier than Tom's.
- 6Write the advice you would give Tom for next year, when his no claim record is worse but his savings are rebuilt. There is no single right answer: show the framework from the risk management lesson, applied to his actual numbers.
- 7Place each of the three losses in this story, the $11,200.00 to the BMW, the $3,400.00 to Tom's own car and the $310.00 tail light, onto the how likely and how bad grid, and say which risk management move fits each one best.